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Here’s how likely it is that a robot will take your job

Here’s how likely it is that a robot will take your job

One misperception about technological change is that the people who lose their jobs are all in low-paid professions. While manufacturing employment has fallen due to automation, there are very low-paid, menial tasks that are next to impossible to automate (such as janitorial work) and high-paid professional fields which could see automation reduce employment (such as radiology).

The above table, listing professions based on their likelihood of seeing technologically-prompted job losses going forward, makes this point well. Yes, telemarketers and retail workers will see their jobs automated away. But so will technical writers and accountants, both solidly upper-middle-class professions. Even economists see a reasonably high likelihood of automation-caused job loss. Dentists and the clergy, however, are safe — for now.

Click “Know More” to read Ryan Avent’s excellent article on what we can learn from the last time automation disrupted the economy in a big way — the Industrial Revolution— and what is missing from the usual narrative about it.

Dylan Matthews | January 17, 2014 at 1:10 pm
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